NFL Week 12 choices, time table, odds, accidents, fable guidelines

The Week 12 NFL time table for the 2023 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we’ve you lined with what you wish to have to understand heading into the weekend. Our NFL Country journalists carry us the largest keys to each and every recreation and a daring prediction for every matchup.

Moreover, ESPN Stats & Data supplies a large stat to understand and a having a bet nugget for every contest, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) is going throughout the numbers with a recreation projection. Analytics author Seth Walder choices out every matchup’s greatest X issue, and fable analyst Eric Moody arms out useful fable soccer intel. In any case, Walder and Moody give us ultimate rating choices for each and every recreation. The whole lot you need to understand is right here in a single spot that can assist you get able for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into the total post-Thanksgiving Week 12 slate, together with a Dolphins-Jets matchup on Friday, Trevor Lawrence vs. C.J. Stroud, a Expenses street shuttle to Philadelphia and a large AFC matchup between the Ravens and Chargers on Sunday night time. All of it culminates with a “Monday Evening Soccer” matchup between the Bears and the Vikings on ESPN. (Recreation occasions are Sunday except differently famous.)

Bounce to a matchup:

Friday, 3 p.m. ET | High Video | Unfold: MIA -7.5 (41.5)

Storyline to observe: The primary Friday after Thanksgiving recreation in NFL historical past options the league’s maximum explosive offense … and its maximum helpless offense. The Dolphins are averaging a league-high 30.5 issues in keeping with recreation; they have got scored extra touchdowns in a single recreation (10) than the Jets’ offense has produced for all of the season (9). The Jets are hoping that journeyman quarterback Tim Boyle, who replaces the benched Zach Wilson, may give a spark. — Wealthy Cimini

Daring prediction: The Jets have no longer allowed a 300-yard passer all season — however that can finish Friday in Tua Tagovailoa‘s first recreation in opposition to the department rival for the reason that 2021 season. Dolphins huge receiver Tyreek Hill may even eclipse 100 receiving yards after failing to take action in both contest in opposition to New York final season. — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Stat to understand: The Jets’ 22.9% third-down conversion price this season is on tempo to be the worst by way of a workforce for the reason that 1970 merger (1970 Patriots have been at 23.1%). And their 26.1% pink zone TD share is on tempo to be the second-worst price prior to now 45 seasons in the back of the 1997 Chargers (25.0%).

Matchup X issue: Boyle. He is taking over because the Jets’ QB1 and has a profession 29 QBR. The Jets want to win some video games to stick within the playoff race lengthy sufficient for Aaron Rodgers to doubtlessly come again, and on Friday that can most definitely require the sport of Boyle’s lifestyles. — Walder

Accidents: Dolphins | Jets

What to understand for fable: The Jets’ protection provides up the ninth-most fable issues in keeping with recreation to working backs. It is a nice alternative for the Dolphins’ working recreation, which ranks moment with 143.0 speeding yards in keeping with recreation, to polish. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: The Jets are 0-4 in opposition to the unfold (ATS) in video games on brief leisure beneath trainer Robert Saleh. And they’re 0-7 ATS of their previous seven video games in that position. Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Dolphins 28, Jets 13
Walder’s pick out: Dolphins 30, Jets 9
FPI prediction: MIA, 76.4% (by way of a median of 9.6 issues)

Matchup must-reads: How the Dolphins’ Mike McDaniel helps to keep issues uniqueLargest machine play ever? Dan Marino’s faux spike turns 29Dolphins dangle RB Achane out after early hit to kneeJets bench Wilson, to start out Boyle at QB vs. Dolphins



Will have to managers roll the cube on De’Von Achane if he performs?

Box Yates talks about whether or not fable managers can with ease slot De’Von Achane of their lineups if he performs via damage.

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: JAX -1 (46.5)

Storyline to observe: If the Texans win this recreation, they might tie the Jaguars atop the AFC South and would have the tie-breaker. One key component to this showdown is how Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence will carry out. Lawrence has struggled in opposition to the Texans, going 1-4 in his profession with seven interceptions to 4 landing passes. The Jaguars’ struggles in opposition to the Texans transcend Lawrence, although, as Houston has ruled Jacksonville, successful 16 out in their previous 19 video games. — DJ Bien-Aime

Daring prediction: The Texans and Jaguars will mix for greater than 800 yards of offense. The Texans have averaged 486.3 yards in keeping with recreation of their previous 3 video games, and whilst the Jaguars have not been that explosive, they did submit a 404 yards within the first assembly. Houston rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud hasn’t thrown for fewer than 336 yards within the workforce’s three-game successful streak, whilst Lawrence is coming off his highest recreation of the season (262 passing yards, 2 passing TDs, 2 speeding TDs in opposition to the Titans). — Mike DiRocco

Stat to understand: We’ve got a large strength-on-strength matchup right here with Stroud in opposition to the Jaguars’ zone protection. Jacksonville performs zone on the fifth-highest price (67%) and has allowed the fourth-lowest QBR in the ones appears. However Stroud has the most efficient QBR within the league in opposition to zone protection this season.

Matchup X issue: Texans huge receiver Tank Dell. He has emerged as an actual difference-maker, and his early-season open rating — he ranked 6th highest within the metric coming into Week 11 — has paid off in manufacturing. Dell has 22 catches for 319 yards over his previous 3 video games. — Walder

Accidents: Jaguars | Texans

What to understand for fable: Stroud and Dell have attached for 659 yards this season. That is probably the most by way of any rookie quarterback-rookie receiver tandem within the first 10 video games of a season in league historical past. The Jaguars’ protection provides up the ninth-most fable issues in keeping with recreation to quarterbacks. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: The Texans have lined 4 of the previous 5 conferences. Since 2018, the Texans are 10-1 outright and 8-3 ATS in opposition to the Jaguars. Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Texans 28, Jaguars 25
Walder’s pick out: Jaguars 23, Texans 22
FPI prediction: JAX, 57.2% (by way of a median of two.5 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Jaguars ‘in an excellent spot’ after Lawrence leads victoryRB Singletary has been game-changer for Texans



Why Yates is cautiously constructive about Trevor Lawrence in Week 12

Box Yates and Mike Clay talk about Trevor Lawrence’s contemporary play relating to his outlook shifting ahead.

1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: ATL -1 (42.5)

Storyline to observe: The data are unsightly, however first position within the NFC South coming into December can be at the line Sunday afternoon. There is nonetheless numerous soccer to move — the groups will meet once more in New Orleans within the regular-season finale — however this recreation can be a turning level with the Falcons going again to Desmond Ridder at quarterback after shedding 3 instantly video games and New Orleans successful two of its previous 3. That is simply lifestyles within the NFL’s maximum unpredictable department the previous two seasons, the place it is totally imaginable the department winner will finally end up with an under-.500 checklist for the second one instantly 12 months. Closing season, Tampa Bay received the department at 8-9. — Michael Rothstein

Daring prediction: The Saints’ protection will drive a minimum of two turnovers from Ridder. The Saints broke their streak of forcing a turnover in each and every recreation of their loss to the Vikings previous to the bye, however they are going to get started a brand new streak with the Falcons switching again to Ridder this week. Ridder has fumbled seven occasions this season and has had two multi-interception video games. With Marshon Lattimore out, Alontae Taylor gets his first profession interception as a type of turnovers. — Katherine Terrell

Stat to understand: Saints working again Alvin Kamara is the one working again with 50 receptions this season. He has 4 seasons with 60-plus receptions, tied with Christian McCaffrey for probably the most amongst energetic RBs. And he would develop into the fourth again with 5 60-reception seasons since 1990.

Matchup X issue: Ridder. The Saints are too excellent protecting the run — they rank first in EPA allowed in keeping with designed elevate — for Atlanta to get by way of with out Ridder excelling within the go recreation. — Walder

Accidents: Saints | Falcons

What to understand for fable: The Saints’ protection permits the eighth-fewest opponent passing yards in keeping with recreation. Ridder has averaged 12.2 fable issues in keeping with recreation as a starter up to now in his profession. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: All six occasions the Saints have confronted a workforce that recently has a shedding checklist, the sport went beneath the overall. Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Saints 24, Falcons 20
Walder’s pick out: Saints 22, Falcons 19
FPI prediction: NO, 56.7% (by way of a median of two.3 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Saints position WR Thomas on IR with knee damageFalcons going again to Ridder for remainder of season

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: PIT -1 (34.5)

Storyline to observe: Each groups input Sunday’s recreation in search of their offensive identification. The Bengals are adjusting to Jake Browning as their beginning quarterback after Joe Burrow‘s season-ending wrist damage. The Steelers fired offensive coordinator Matt Canada on Tuesday after the workforce ranked twenty eighth within the NFL in offensive issues in keeping with recreation (15.0). — Ben Child

Daring prediction: Steelers QB Kenny Pickett could have more than one passing touchdowns for the second one time in his profession. Converting offensive coordinators occasionally has some way of jumpstarting an offense. With quarterbacks trainer Mike Sullivan, who’s shut with Pickett, calling performs, Pickett has a possibility to turn he may also be an NFL quarterback in opposition to a Bengals workforce that ranks close to the ground of the league in passing protection, permitting 284.3 yards in keeping with recreation throughout the air in its previous 3 outings. — Brooke Pryor

Stat to understand: The Steelers are 6-4 this season regardless of being outgained in each and every unmarried recreation. They’re the 20 th workforce to be outgained in every of the primary 10 video games of the season, and they’re the one one to take action with a successful checklist.

Matchup X issue: Cincinnati’s run protection. With Burrow out for the season neither workforce must be capable of have a lot luck on offense. The unhealthy information for the Bengals: Their run protection has been porous, score twenty ninth in EPA allowed in keeping with designed elevate. — Walder

Accidents: Steelers | Bengals

What to understand for fable: Pittsburgh ranks twenty eighth in issues in keeping with recreation, twenty eighth in general yards in keeping with recreation (280.1) and thirty first in passing yards in keeping with recreation (170). Pickett has averaged 9.9 fable issues in keeping with recreation this season. Bryce Younger (10.8), Zach Wilson (10.2) and Desmond Ridder (12.2) have upper per-game averages. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: The Bengals are 0-3 outright and ATS in department video games this season. And they’re 1-5 outright and ATS in convention video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Bengals 21, Steelers 16
Walder’s pick out: Steelers 23, Bengals 16
FPI prediction: PIT, 51.2% (by way of a median of 0.5 issues)

Matchup must-reads: What may just Matt Canada’s firing trade in regards to the Steelers’ offense?Burrow out for season with wrist damageThe case for and in opposition to the Bengals nonetheless making the playoffs



What is the fable have an effect on of Matt Canada’s firing?

Box Yates and Mike Clay analyze what have an effect on the Steelers’ firing offensive coordinator Matt Canada would possibly have in fable.

1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: IND -2 (42.5)

Storyline to observe: The matchup of the Colts’ suffering run protection as opposed to the Buccaneers’ anemic speeding offense items an enchanting scenario. Indianapolis, within the absence of suspended standout nostril take on Grover Stewart, has allowed a median of 154 speeding yards in its previous 4 video games. Tampa Bay, in the meantime, ranks final in speeding yards (769) and yards in keeping with elevate (3.1), placing extra tension on quarterback Baker Mayfield and the passing recreation. Will this kind of groups damage their long-running traits? — Stephen Holder

Daring prediction: The Buccaneers could have a 100-yard rusher in working again Rachaad White for the primary time since his Week 10 efficiency in opposition to the Seahawks final 12 months. Of their previous 4 video games, the Colts have surrendered extra speeding yards than any workforce within the league. White’s season excessive has been 73 yards in opposition to the Bears and the Texans. — Jenna Laine

Stat to understand: Colts working again Jonathan Taylor has long gone 10 instantly video games with out going over 100 speeding yards, the longest streak of his profession. His final 100-yard recreation used to be in Week 10 of final season.

Matchup X issue: Buccaneers left guards Matt Feiler or Aaron Stinnie. The Colts have a sneaky-decent go rush, led by way of DeForest Buckner, who ranks 5th with a 17% go rush win price at defensive take on. He’s going to most commonly line up reverse the left guard spot, which Stinnie has been enjoying in Feiler’s stead whilst the latter has been out on account of a knee damage. Both approach, they have got each been cast with similar 92% go block win charges (simply over reasonable), however Buckner items a difficult problem. — Walder

Accidents: Buccaneers | Colts

What to understand for fable: Colts WR Michael Pittman Jr. has averaged 9.8 objectives, 72 receiving yards and 15.8 fable issues in keeping with recreation over his previous six video games. He faces a Buccaneers protection in Week 12 that has allowed the fourth-most fable issues in keeping with recreation to huge receivers. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: The Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS at the street this season, all as underdogs. Unders are 4-1 in the ones video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Colts 23, Buccaneers 20
Walder’s pick out: Buccaneers 26, Colts 20
FPI prediction: IND, 54.6% (by way of a median of one.6 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Bucs hope ‘small issues’ do not dangle them again from playoffsColts waive All-Professional LB Leonard in wonder transfer

1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: NE -3.5 (33.5)

Storyline to observe: This can be a matchup of the league’s two lowest-scoring groups, with the Giants (13.5 issues in keeping with recreation) keeping up the rear forward of the Patriots (14.1 issues in keeping with recreation) even after a 31-point outburst vs. Washington. Giants trainer Brian Daboll insisted that undrafted rookie quarterback Tommy DeVito is “making improvements to.” — Jordan Raanan

Daring prediction: The Patriots will rating 20 or extra issues for simply the 0.33 time this season. This is due, partly, to the Giants score twenty eighth within the NFL in issues allowed in keeping with recreation (25.9). It’s been a fight offensively for New England, however one of the crucial silver linings in contemporary weeks has been the speeding assault, and that is the reason a space the place the Giants have proven vulnerability (combatants averaging 135.1 yards in keeping with recreation and four.8 yards in keeping with elevate). — Mike Reiss

Stat to understand: Giants edge rusher Kayvon Thibodeaux had two sacks final week in opposition to the Commanders, bringing his general to ten.5 at the season. He is the primary Giants participant with 10-plus sacks throughout the workforce’s first 11 video games since Jason Pierre-Paul had 10.5 via 11 video games in 2011.

Matchup X issue: Patriots beginning quarterback, whoever that can be. They have got to get one thing going within the passing recreation. So long as they do, the Patriots must win this recreation with DeVito quarterbacking the opposite facet (I do know what took place in opposition to the Commanders, however nonetheless). — Walder

Accidents: Patriots | Giants

What to understand for fable: Patriots WR Demario Douglas has been centered 16 occasions during the last two video games, and he’ll play a key position for the Patriots popping out of the bye in opposition to the Giants. New York provides up the fifth-most fable issues in keeping with recreation to huge receivers. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: The Patriots are 2-8 ATS, tied with the Falcons for worst within the NFL. They’re 1-6 ATS of their previous seven video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Patriots 21, Giants 20
Walder’s pick out: Patriots 23, Giants 13
FPI prediction: NE, 72.7% (by way of a median of 8.1 issues)

Matchup must-reads: O’Brien hints apply can be information for QB name



Why Demario Douglas has flex enchantment in Week 12

Liz Loza expects Demario Douglas to be a staple within the Patriots’ offense, regardless who is at quarterback.

1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: TEN -3.5 (37.5)

Storyline to observe: This recreation can be a combat of rookie quarterbacks. Bryce Younger and the Panthers’ offense are dealing with a Tennessee protection this is giving up 230 passing yards in keeping with recreation. Titans quarterback Will Levis could have a harder activity with Carolina’s sixth-ranked go protection (179 yards in keeping with recreation). This matchup will come right down to which of the younger quarterbacks outshines the opposite. — Turron Davenport

Daring prediction: 2nd-round draft pick out Levis will throw for greater than 250 yards and 3 touchdowns and not using a interceptions, and No. 1 general pick out Younger will once more fight to succeed in 200 yards passing. Levis — who has 857 passing yards and 6 passing TDs via 4 profession begins — will be the fourth QB in Titans franchise historical past with a minimum of 8 TD throws and 1,000 passing yards via 5 profession begins. — David Newton

Stat to understand: Titans working again Derrick Henry has 4 speeding touchdowns this season, his fewest via 10 workforce video games since 2018. He’s averaging 66.3 speeding yards in keeping with recreation after averaging a minimum of 95 in every of the former 4 seasons.

Matchup X issue: The Panthers’ offensive line. Carolina had the worst go block win price in Week 11, and Ikem Ekwonu ranks final within the metric amongst tackles during the last 4 weeks. Younger is not enjoying neatly, however the line is not serving to. — Walder

Accidents: Panthers | Titans

What to understand for fable: In his previous two video games, Henry has scored a complete of 8.4 fable issues. The Broncos are the one different workforce to surrender extra fable issues in keeping with recreation than the Panthers. The matchup is highest for the Titans working again to bop again, however can he take merit? See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: 4 instantly Panthers video games have long gone beneath the overall. Additionally, they’re one among two groups to be underdogs in each and every recreation coming into this week (Cardinals). Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Titans 21, Panthers 13
Walder’s pick out: Panthers 20, Titans 17
FPI prediction: TEN, 61.5% (by way of a median of three.9 issues)

Matchup must-reads: An indication of promise amid Panthers’ loss to Cowboys?Titans, Vrabel left in search of solutions as losses pile up

4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: DEN -1.5 (34.5)

Storyline to observe: The Broncos are on a four-game win streak, however the offense can not seem to discover a rhythm although quarterback Russell Wilson has performed successful soccer. Wilson is tied for 0.33 in landing passes (19) and leads the league in each successful drives and fourth-quarter comebacks. However recapturing that rhythm and preserving Wilson out of injury’s approach can be a tall order, given the Browns’ Myles Garrett leads the league in sacks (13) and Cleveland sacks opposing quarterbacks on an NFL-most 12.5% of go makes an attempt. The Browns also are tops within the league in general protection and go protection in addition to 6th in scoring protection. — Jeff Legwold

Daring prediction: Cleveland will win any other recreation with any other last-second force in Denver. The Browns will then have a franchise-record 4 victories this season off a successful force within the ultimate two mins of law. — Jake Trotter

Stat to understand: Broncos receiver Courtland Sutton has 5 instantly video games with a receiving landing, the longest streak by way of a Broncos participant since 2014 (Julius Thomas, 5 instantly) and one shy of tying the longest streak in Broncos historical past (accomplished 5 earlier occasions, maximum just lately by way of Wes Welker in 2013).

Matchup X issue: Broncos cornerback Pat Surtain II. If Surtain can comprise WR Amari Cooper, that hurts an already lowered Browns offense with out Deshaun Watson. — Walder

Accidents: Browns | Broncos

What to understand for fable: The Browns’ protection provides up handiest 0.9 passing touchdowns in keeping with recreation. In relation to Wilson and the Broncos’ pass-catchers, mood your expectancies. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: All 4 Browns street video games have long gone over the overall this season, however 5 instantly Broncos video games have long gone beneath. Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Browns 27, Broncos 24
Walder’s pick out: Browns 19, Broncos 16
FPI prediction: CLE, 52.4% (by way of a median of 0.9 issues)

Matchup must-reads: How Thompson-Robinson stored Browns’ season on the right track Sutton surging on the proper time for DenverThompson-Robinson to stay Browns’ beginning QB



J.J. Watt and McAfee surprise at Myles Garrett’s season

J.J. Watt and Pat McAfee damage down how robust of a season Myles Garrett is having for the Cleveland Browns.

4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: EVEN (44.5)

Storyline to observe: Each quarterbacks — Arizona’s Kyler Murray and Los Angeles’ Matthew Stafford — are out to end up one thing. Stafford has struggled, throwing 9 touchdowns in opposition to 8 interceptions. Murray, however, can be enjoying his 0.33 recreation since getting back from ACL surgical operation and is attempting to discover a constant rhythm and any other win. — Josh Weinfuss

Daring prediction: Rams WR Puka Nacua could have seven catches for 150 yards. Nacua’s worst recreation of the season got here in Week 6 in opposition to the Cardinals, when he had 4 catches for 26 yards. But when WR Cooper Kupp (sprained proper ankle) does no longer play, be expecting Nacua to be the point of interest, particularly in opposition to a Cardinals protection that ranks twenty ninth in go DVOA. — Sarah Barshop

Stat to understand: The Rams are averaging 19.5 PPG via 10 video games this season (their second-lowest mark via 10 video games since Sean McVay took over in 2017) and feature scored 20 or fewer issues in 4 instantly video games. A 5th instantly under-20-point efficiency would tie for the longest streak beneath McVay, which used to be set in Weeks 8-12 final season.

Matchup X issue: Cardinals guards Will Hernandez and Carter O’Donnell. They are going to be tasked with preventing Aaron Donald, however there are some promising indicators right here: Hernandez ranks 7th in go block win price (95%) amongst guards, and in restricted paintings O’Donnell has had a 94% go block win price, proper in the similar ballpark. — Walder

Accidents: Rams | Cardinals

What to understand for fable: The Cardinals protection that provides up the sixth-most fable issues in keeping with recreation to quarterbacks. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: The Rams are 12-2 ATS in opposition to the Cardinals beneath trainer Sean McVay, together with the playoffs (11-2 ATS in steady season). However they’re additionally 0-4 ATS of their previous 4 video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Rams 20, Cardinals 17
Walder’s pick out: Cardinals 27, Rams 24
FPI prediction: LAR, 65.9% (by way of a median of five.5 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Rams’ younger protection helps stay L.A. in video gamesMurray: Cardinals’ offense ‘let the workforce down’

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: KC -8.5 (42.5)

Storyline to observe: The private in-game combat between Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes and Raiders edge rusher Maxx Crosby is one to observe. Since Crosby entered the league in 2019, the Chiefs have received seven of 8 conferences in opposition to the Raiders and Mahomes has thrown for two,464 yards with 21 TDs and simply 2 INTs in the ones video games. However 3 of Crosby’s 4 sacks and 3 of his 9 QB hits in opposition to Mahomes got here final season. — Paul Gutierrez

Daring prediction: The Chiefs will play a fourth instantly moment part with out scoring some extent. Between consequences, dropped passes and turnovers, they have got proven no indicators of resolving any in their many problems. In the meantime, the Raiders have allowed a median of 13 issues in keeping with recreation since making their training trade, so they are in a position to giving the suffering Chiefs quite a few issues. — Adam Teicher

Stat to understand: Chiefs tight finish Travis Kelce has 11 profession landing catches in opposition to the Raiders, his maximum in opposition to any workforce. Best Antonio Gates (13) and Steve Largent (12) have extra in opposition to the Raiders, and the one energetic participant with extra TD catches in opposition to any unmarried opponent is Davante Adams (13 in opposition to the Vikings).

Matchup X issue: Chiefs cornerback L’Jarius Sneed. Closing week, he traveled with A.J. Brown, so there is a first rate probability he will do the similar for Adams. If this is the case, which may be difficult information for the Raiders: Sneed is permitting simply 1.0 yards in keeping with protection snap, in keeping with NFL Subsequent Gen Stats (higher than reasonable for out of doors corners), and Brown completed final week’s recreation in opposition to the Chiefs with only one catch. — Walder

Accidents: Chiefs | Raiders

What to understand for fable: Mahomes’ huge receivers are losing 9.2% of passes. Prior to now 10 seasons, that is the easiest price for any quarterback via 10 video games. Although the Raiders’ secondary is some distance from elite, Las Vegas has allowed the Thirteenth-fewest fable issues in keeping with recreation to huge receivers. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: The Raiders are 3-0 ATS beneath intervening time trainer Antonio Pierce. The Chiefs are 13-7 ATS in opposition to the Raiders beneath trainer Andy Reid (17-3 outright). Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Chiefs 24, Raiders 16
Walder’s pick out: Chiefs 27, Raiders 13
FPI prediction: KC, 85.6% (by way of a median of 14.2 issues)

Matchup must-reads: Raiders looking to juggle O’Connell’s rising pains

4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: PHI -3.5 (48.5)

Storyline to observe: The Expenses are averaging extra yards in keeping with recreation than the Eagles and feature a plus-104 level differential in comparison to plus-61 for Philly. However Buffalo has 5 extra giveaways at the season and has misplaced all of its video games by way of six issues or fewer, whilst the Eagles have discovered a approach to win the shut ones. — Tim McManus

Daring prediction: Josh Allen‘s interception streak will come to an finish. In spite of dealing with the workforce with the most efficient checklist at the street, Allen’s career-high seven-game stretch with a minimum of one interception in every recreation will come to a detailed. The offense and Allen’s self assurance took a large step in the proper path in opposition to the Jets, and that can proceed on this giant recreation. Plus, whilst the Eagles’ protection has lots to present the Expenses a difficult day, it has recorded handiest 5 interceptions this season, tied for the second one fewest within the NFL. — Alaina Getzenberg

Stat to understand: Allen has seven video games with a passing and speeding TD this season, whilst Philadelphia’s Jalen Hurts has six. Best 4 QBs have ever had 8 such video games in a season, and the checklist is 9 (Kyler Murray in 2020).

Matchup X issue: Expenses cornerback Rasul Douglas. He has supplied a badly wanted spice up for the banged-up Expenses protection and has allowed simply 0.8 yards in keeping with protection snap and recorded two interceptions in his 3 video games with Buffalo. — Walder

Accidents: Expenses | Eagles

What to understand for fable: The Eagles’ working recreation holds a vital merit with D’Andre Swift in opposition to a Expenses defensive entrance that ranks sixteenth in run forestall win price. Swift has averaged 18.0 touches and 14.9 fable issues in keeping with recreation this season. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: The Expenses’ Allen is 11-5-1 ATS as a street underdog in his profession. Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Eagles 28, Expenses 21
Walder’s pick out: Expenses 28, Eagles 24
FPI prediction: BUF, 55.9% (by way of a median of two issues)

Matchup must-reads: Expenses’ Kincaid rising as go-to playmaker for AllenEagles unhappy after successful Tremendous Bowl rematch vs. Chiefs

8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: BAL -4 (46.5)

Storyline to observe: This a matchup between arguably the NFL’s highest and worst protection. The Chargers are the worst workforce within the NFL in opposition to the go, permitting 291.6 yards in keeping with recreation, moment worst in general yards allowed in keeping with recreation (393.6) and completions allowed in keeping with recreation (26.5). In the meantime, Baltimore ranks within the most sensible 3 in more than one defensive classes: issues in keeping with recreation (16.1), passing yards in keeping with recreation (169.7) and general yards in keeping with recreation (273.5). The final time the Ravens confronted the Chargers used to be in 2021, trainer Brandon Staley’s first season. Baltimore received 34-6. — Kris Rhim

Daring prediction: Ravens rookie huge receiver Zay Flora could have his first 100-yard receiving recreation. Flora, Baltimore’s No. 1 goal, has no longer surpassed 78 yards receiving in a recreation this season however must get much more alternatives after Mark Andrews‘ most probably season-ending ankle damage. The Chargers have allowed 5 huge receivers to checklist a minimum of 80 yards receiving prior to now six video games: Amon-Ra St. Brown (156 yards), CeeDee Lamb (117), Dontayvion Wicks (91), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (84) and Garrett Wilson (80). — Jamison Hensley

Stat to understand: Each Lamar Jackson and Justin Herbert have excelled out of doors the pocket and rancid play-action, score most sensible 5 in QBR in each. However whilst the Ravens’ protection ranks most sensible 5 in opponent QBR in each spaces, the Chargers’ D is within the backside two, together with worst in opponent QBR out of doors the pocket.

Matchup X issue: Ravens tight finish Isaiah Most probably. He is filling some huge sneakers with Andrews out, however he is stepping in in opposition to a workforce that has hassle preventing the go, so he may just produce in an instant. — Walder

Accidents: Ravens | Chargers

What to understand for fable: Jackson faces a Chargers protection that has given up the second-most fable issues in keeping with recreation to quarterbacks. Jackson has averaged 18.4 fable issues in keeping with recreation at the street this season, and the Chargers’ protection permits huge receivers to attain the second-most fable issues in keeping with recreation. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: Seven of the previous 8 Chargers video games have long gone beneath the overall, but 4 of the previous 5 Ravens video games have long gone over the overall. Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Ravens 27, Chargers 23
Walder’s pick out: Ravens 38, Chargers 23
FPI prediction: BAL, 55.7% (by way of a median of two issues)

Matchup must-reads: John Harbaugh: ‘Outdoor probability’ Andrews returns this seasonChargers’ Bosa (foot) most probably headed to IR, Staley saysRavens’ Jackson proving resilient heading into house stretch



Why OBJ is a profitable fable upload and stash

Box Yates explains why Odell Beckham Jr. is price a fable upload despite his inconsistency.

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Unfold: MIN -3.5 (43.5)

Storyline to observe: This recreation may just activate whether or not the Vikings’ protection can comprise the working of quarterback Justin Fields, who rushed for 46 yards on 8 carries on 35 general snaps within the groups’ Week 6 matchup earlier than he departed on account of a dislocated finger. The Vikings have performed exceptionally neatly on protection during the last two months, however they have got the NFL’s sixth-worst luck price in opposition to quarterback runs (35%). — Kevin Seifert

Daring prediction: The Vikings will lengthen their win streak over their NFC North opponent to 6, the second-most consecutive wins they have got had over the Bears in franchise historical past (8 from 1972 to 76), with their 0.33 one-score victory of their previous 4 video games. Joshua Dobbs will lead Minnesota from in the back of within the ultimate two mins of the sport and hit tight finish Josh Oliver for the successful landing. — Courtney Cronin

Stat to understand: Minnesota’s T.J. Hockenson leads all tight leads to catches (75) and receiving yards (736). He wishes 9 extra receptions for probably the most in a season by way of a Vikings tight finish (Kyle Rudolph had 83 in 2016).

Matchup X issue: Bears cornerbacks Jaylon Johnson and Tyrique Stevenson. Johnson has the third-lowest yards in keeping with protection snap allowed (0.9) amongst out of doors corners, in keeping with NFL Subsequent Gen Stats, and whilst Stevenson has struggled for many of this 12 months, he is coming off an overly robust Week 11. Possibly they may be able to close down this Dobbs-led Vikings passing assault. — Walder

Accidents: Bears | Vikings

What to understand for fable: The Bears’ protection provides up the sixth-most fable issues in keeping with recreation to tight ends — that is excellent information for Hockenson. See Week 12 scores. — Moody

Making a bet nugget: The Vikings are 5-0 outright and 4-1 ATS in opposition to the Bears since 2021. Learn extra.

Moody’s pick out: Vikings 27, Bears 19
Walder’s pick out: Vikings 24, Bears 22
FPI prediction: MIN, 61.6% (by way of a median of four issues)

Matchup must-reads: Bears’ Fields excels in go back from damageJefferson: My well being extra vital than fable soccer

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