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NFL Country, ESPN
The Week 14 NFL agenda for the 2023 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we have now you coated with what you wish to have to understand heading into the weekend. Our NFL Country journalists convey us the largest keys to each sport and a daring prediction for each and every matchup.
Moreover, ESPN Stats & Data supplies a large stat to understand and a making a bet nugget for each and every contest, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) is going within the numbers with a sport projection and a have a look at the playoff image. Analytics creator Seth Walder selections out each and every matchup’s largest X issue, and myth analyst Eric Moody palms out useful myth soccer intel. In any case, Walder and Moody give us ultimate rating selections for each sport. The whole thing you need to understand is right here in a single spot that can assist you get able for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.
Let’s get into the overall Week 14 slate, together with the Rams’ highway go back and forth to Baltimore, Patrick Mahomes vs. Josh Allen and an NFC East combat between the Cowboys and Eagles. All of it culminates with two “Monday Evening Soccer” matchups: Titans-Dolphins (ESPN) and Packers-Giants (ABC/ESPN+). Sport instances are Sunday except famous, and all playoff probability percentages are by means of FPI.
Soar to a matchup:
LAR-BAL | DET-CHI | JAX-CLE
TB-ATL | CAR-NO | HOU-NYJ
IND-CIN | MIN-LV | SEA-SF
BUF-KC | DEN-LAC | PHI-DAL
TEN-MIA | GB-NYG
Thursday: NE 21, PIT 18
Bye: ARI, WSH
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: BAL -7 (40.5)
Storyline to observe: With defensive take on Justin Madubuike dominating the center and Jadeveon Clowney crashing the brink, the Ravens lead the NFL in sacks with 47, which is 5 greater than some other group. However it’ll be a problem to get force on Rams QB Matthew Stafford, who has been sacked 20 instances — the fourth fewest amongst quarterbacks with a minimum of 400 dropbacks. — Jamison Hensley
Daring prediction: The Ravens will run for 2 touchdowns, enabling them to compare the franchise checklist for dashing TDs in a season (24 in 2020). The Ravens, at 22 dashing touchdowns, are tied with the Dolphins for probably the most within the NFL, and Baltimore has scored a minimum of one dashing TD in six immediately video games. The Rams have allowed 11 dashing touchdowns, which is tied for twelfth maximum. — Sarah Barshop
Stat to understand: The Ravens lead the NFL in scoring protection (15.6 issues in keeping with sport). Baltimore has led the league in scoring protection two times in franchise historical past: 2006 (misplaced within the divisional around) and 2000 (received the Tremendous Bowl).
Matchup X issue: Rams large receivers Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua. This will probably be a difficult sport for them, because the Ravens are the second-most tricky group to get open in opposition to (after the Jets), in step with ESPN’s receiver monitoring metrics. However Kupp and Nacua are gifted, and this sport may swing in this strength-on-strength matchup. — Walder
What is at stake: If the Rams can beat the Ravens on Sunday, their playoff possibilities cross to 69%, in keeping with ESPN’s Soccer Energy Index. However a loss drops them to 35%. Baltimore, in the meantime, is extra excited about the AFC’s No. 1 seed. The Ravens’ possibilities to earn a bye could be both 38% (win) or 18% (loss), relying at the end result of the sport. Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: Nacua’s 1,029 receiving yards are the fourth maximum via a participant’s first 12 video games because the 1970 merger. Kupp, alternatively, has had fewer than 50 receiving yards in six consecutive video games. In opposition to the Ravens’ stout secondary, which permits the second-fewest myth issues in keeping with sport to large receivers, it is an important to have sensible expectancies for each avid gamers. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Rams are 0-3 in opposition to the unfold (ATS) of their previous 3 video games as an underdog. Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Ravens 28, Rams 21
Walder’s pick out: Rams 27, Ravens 24
FPI prediction: BAL, 74.2% (through a mean of 8.7 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Rams signal Crosby … Tucker not maximum correct kicker, however Baltimore nonetheless assured … Nacua anticipated to play via AC joint sprain
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: DET -3.5 (43.5)
Storyline to observe: The second one assembly between those NFC North competitors comes 3 weeks after Chicago had a 12-point lead with 4:15 to play and a 98.6% probability to overcome Detroit at the highway sooner than therefore shedding 31-26. A Week 14 victory would give the Lions their first 10-win season since 2014, whilst the Bears are searching for back-to-back wins for the primary time beneath trainer Matt Eberflus. Bears QB Justin Fields is the NFL’s handiest quarterback to have 3 video games of 100 yards dashing in opposition to a unmarried opponent since 1950, and he has accomplished it in 3 immediately in opposition to Detroit. — Courtney Cronin
Daring prediction: Lions rookie tight finish Sam LaPorta will log his moment consecutive sport of a minimum of 100 receiving yards. LaPorta had a season-best 140 yards with a landing at New Orleans on Dec. 3 and continues to broaden agree with with QB Jared Goff. The second one-round pick out will benefit from his objectives in Chicago as extra alternatives stay coming his approach. The Bears surrender a mean of 46.7 yards in keeping with sport to tight ends (fifteenth within the NFL). — Eric Woodyard
Stat to understand: Fields has had one passing landing and no dashing touchdowns in his previous 3 video games performed; six immediately video games with out a dashing TD is tied for the longest drought of his occupation (2021 Weeks 2-7).
Matchup X issue: The Lions’ move rush. Over the last 4 weeks, they rank thirtieth in move rush win fee, or even Aidan Hutchinson has been beneath common within the class for a beginning edge rusher. Fields has a weak spot of taking sacks (29), however Detroit goes to want some force to take merit. — Walder
What is at stake: Those groups are focused on two various things. Detroit is looking for a department identify, which might upward push to a 95% probability with a win (or drop to 80% in a loss). And Chicago is observing the draft order. The Bears are these days projected to have two top-eight selections. Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: Myth managers will have to tread flippantly in the case of Goff, who has averaged handiest 16.1 myth issues a sport during the last 3 video games. Over the last 4 video games, the Bears’ protection has allowed the fewest myth issues to quarterbacks. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Bears are 1-8 ATS of their previous 9 video games following a bye week. Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Lions 30, Bears 17
Walder’s pick out: Lions 27, Bears 20
FPI prediction: DET, 61.8% (through a mean of four issues)
Matchup must-reads: LaPorta serving to Lions get again on course … Fields says he isn’t nervous about long run with Bears … Goff: Lions should ‘flip our urgency up’ down stretch
0:41
Eric Karabell: Be expecting a large Week 14 from DJ Moore
Eric Karabell explains how Justin Fields has been a myth spice up for DJ Moore forward of the Bears’ sport vs. the Lions.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CLE -3 (30.5)
Storyline to observe: Jaguars trainer Doug Pederson will face off in opposition to his former defensive coordinator, present Cleveland DC Jim Schwartz. The 2 received a Tremendous Bowl in combination in Philadelphia in 2017 and know masses about each and every different. And Schwartz could be scheming in opposition to backup Jacksonville quarterback C.J. Beathard with Trevor Lawrence‘s standing up within the air (excessive ankle sprain). — Jake Trotter
Daring prediction: The Browns’ Myles Garrett and the Jaguars’ Josh Allen will mix for seven sacks. Garrett (13 sacks) and Allen (13.5) are fighting Khalil Mack, T.J. Watt and Danielle Hunter for the sack identify and will probably be chasing quarterbacks who’ve restricted mobility, equipped 38-year-old Joe Flacco begins as a substitute of rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson. If Lawrence performs, it is most likely he would possibly not be transferring round in addition to he have been since getting back from a sprained left knee. — Mike DiRocco
Stat to understand: If Flacco begins and wins, this will be the first time the Browns have had 4 beginning QBs win a sport in a season. The final group to try this was once the 2015 Texans.
Matchup X issue: Jaguars large receiver Parker Washington. Regardless of slightly enjoying all season, Washington controlled six receptions for 61 yards Monday after Christian Kirk suffered a groin damage. Is {that a} signal of items to return? The Jaguars may use the lend a hand with Kirk out. — Walder
What is at stake: The Jaguars would have an 88% probability to win the AFC South in the event that they win this sport — however a loss drops them to 65% within the department and shrinks their odds to land the No. 1 seed to two%. The Browns could make a playoff push with a win, seeing their odds bounce to 82%. However a loss places them proper round 50-50. Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: Calvin Ridley and Zay Jones could have problem overcoming the Browns’ protection this week, particularly with out Lawrence. Cleveland’s protection lets in the third-fewest myth issues in keeping with sport to large receivers. The Browns’ receivers are larger situated to prevail in opposition to a Jaguars protection that provides up the seventh-most myth issues in keeping with sport to the location. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Browns are 8-1-1 ATS of their previous 10 video games following a loss. Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Browns 22, Jaguars 17
Walder’s pick out: Browns 20, Jaguars 12
FPI prediction: CLE, 51.1% (through a mean of 0.4 issues)
Matchup must-reads: QB Lawrence: Jaguars had cart to be had; I refused it … Cooper suffers concussion in loss to Rams … Flacco has fuel within the tank, however do banged-up Browns?
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: ATL -1.5 (39.5)
Storyline to observe: Buccaneers receiver Mike Evans, who as soon as once more crowned 1,000 yards, has been an issue for Atlanta through the years — together with six catches for 82 yards and a landing previous this season. With Falcons cornerbacks A.J. Terrell (concussion protocol) and Jeff Okudah (ankle) each coping with accidents, the matchup on protection might be one thing to observe. — Michael Rothstein
Daring prediction: Bucs quarterback Baker Mayfield will throw for 300-plus yards for the second one time this season. It will be the first time that Atlanta has given up 300 passing yards this season. Between the wounds to the Falcons’ secondary and Mayfield and Evans getting happy with their downfield connection — Evans is averaging 16.6 yards in keeping with final touch — the 2 can have any other special day. — Jenna Laine
Stat to understand: Falcons working again Bijan Robinson is looking for his 5th sport with 100 scrimmage yards, which might be tied for probably the most through a Falcons rookie in franchise historical past (Julio Jones and Tyler Allgeier).
Matchup X issue: Falcons defensive take on David Onyemata. He has cooled off after a sizzling begin to the season, however Sunday is a huge alternative. All 3 participants of the inner of the Bucs offensive line — Aaron Stinnie, Robert Hainsey and Cody Mauch — are beneath common in move block win fee at their place. — Walder
What is at stake: This can be a giant one for playoff possibilities. Let’s get started with Tampa Bay: A win provides the Bucs a 39% probability to win the NFC South and a 44% probability to make the playoffs, however a loss places them at 3% and six%, respectively. Atlanta has even larger swings in play. The Falcons could be 81% to win the department and 83% to make the postseason in a win however 34% and 38%, respectively, with a loss. Learn extra.
Accidents: Buccaneers | Falcons
What to understand for myth: If you are searching for a decent finish streamer, do not forget Cade Otton regardless of his 0 objectives and 0 myth issues in opposition to the Panthers final week. On this week’s sport, he’ll face a Falcons protection that provides up the eighth-most myth issues to tight ends. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS at the highway regardless of 4 immediately outright losses. Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Falcons 24, Buccaneers 21
Walder’s pick out: Falcons 23, Buccaneers 16
FPI prediction: TB, 51.1% (through a mean of 0.4 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Bucs getting ready for pivotal sport at Falcons … The Falcons’ protection has stepped forward, offense lacks ‘consistency’ … Evans posts Tenth immediately 1,000-yard season
0:44
Praising Mike Evans’ ancient myth season
Eric Moody will get into the numbers in the back of Mike Evans’ stellar myth season.
1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: NO -5 (37.5)
Storyline to observe: Saints QBs Derek Carr and Taysom Hill are each at the damage record this week, with Carr in concussion protocol and Hill coping with foot/hand accidents. Hill, who had 8.3 yards in keeping with raise within the first contest in opposition to the Panthers and has six general touchdowns (passing/receiving/dashing), could be a big loss for a group that has been erratic at very best in the case of dashing the ball and scoring within the pink zone. — Katherine Terrell
Daring prediction: Panthers QB Bryce Younger could have two landing passes to move with a moment immediately 100-yard dashing effort from Chuba Hubbard. It would possibly not be sufficient for a win, however the Saints’ protection ranks thirtieth in sacks and twenty fourth in opposition to the run, which will have to lend a hand spark the Carolina offense. — David Newton
Stat to understand: The Saints have misplaced 3 immediately and 5 of the previous seven. With a loss, they might be tied for his or her second-longest shedding streak up to now 15 seasons, in the back of a five-game streak from Weeks 9 to 13 in 2021.
Matchup X issue: Saints quarterback Jameis Winston. He is without equal wild card. The Saints’ possibilities will swing on his efficiency — which is able to characteristic incredible deep pictures, pricey turnovers or each. — Walder
What is at stake: Carolina is eradicated and does now not have a first-round pick out, so the focal point is going to New Orleans right here. The Saints have a 34% probability to make the playoffs in the event that they win, however shedding to the Panthers drops that to 11%. Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: Hubbard has had 18 or extra touches, amassed 90 or extra general yards and scored 20 or extra myth issues in two immediately video games. The Panthers are dedicated to working the soccer to take the force off Younger. A forged flex possibility, Hubbard is projected to obtain excessive quantity in opposition to the Saints. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Saints are 0-5 ATS at house, making them the one group but to hide at house. Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Saints 24, Panthers 19
Walder’s pick out: Saints 23, Panthers 13
FPI prediction: NO, 71% (through a mean of seven.4 issues)
Matchup must-reads: 1-11 Panthers pissed off with shedding … Carr in protocol, additionally being checked for rib damage … Saints know handiest option to silence boos, stay jobs is to win
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: HOU -4.5 (32.5)
Storyline to observe: It is a No. 2-vs.-No. 2 quarterback matchup: The Jets’ Zach Wilson, drafted No. 2 general in 2021, faces C.J. Stroud, No. 2 general in 2023. Their careers are entering into reverse instructions, regardless that. Stroud has virtually as many landing passes as Wilson (20 to 21) despite the fact that he has began considerably fewer video games (12 to 32). Wilson returns to the lineup after a two-game benching. — Wealthy Cimini
Daring prediction: Stroud will throw for not up to 200 yards. Since Week 9, Stroud has 3 landing passes and no interceptions on throws that take 4 seconds or longer to get out. However the Jets’ protection has thrived when quarterbacks dangle the ball. Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts threw two interceptions each and every on passes that took 2.5 seconds or longer in opposition to the Jets. And Stroud is with out rookie receiver Tank Dell (fibula), who has 709 yards. — DJ Bien-Aime
Stat to understand: Stroud leads the NFL with 3,540 passing yards. 3 learners have led the NFL in passing yards in a season since 1933, when particular person participant stats had been first tracked — Davey O’Brien (1939), Sammy Baugh (1937) and Harry Newman (1933).
Matchup X issue: Jets quarterback Wilson. The group has torpedoed its personal probabilities of staying within the playoff race till Aaron Rodgers returns via its quarterback choices. Wilson indisputably provides the Jets a more in-depth probability to win than Tim Boyle did, however the group wishes greater than it were given from Wilson sooner than he was once benched. — Walder
What is at stake: The Texans could make an AFC South push with a win, expanding their possibilities to twenty% (6% with a loss). And their playoff possibilities basically can bounce to 79% in the event that they beat the Jets — or fall to 52% in the event that they lose. Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: Nico Collins accounted for 69% of Stroud’s passing yards in opposition to the Broncos final week and completed with 12 objectives. The Texans receiver ranks Tenth within the league with 991 receiving yards. Managers will have to agree with Collins as a volume-based WR2, regardless of the Jets giving up the fewest myth issues in keeping with sport to large receivers. Within the 3 video games wherein he has had 10 or extra objectives, he has scored 14 or extra myth issues. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Unders are 5-0-1 within the Jets’ previous six video games. And 3 immediately Texans video games have long past beneath the whole. Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Texans 24, Jets 10
Walder’s pick out: Texans 23, Jets 16
FPI prediction: HOU, 65.8% (through a mean of five.4 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Stingley changing into participant Texans had been hoping for … Why the Jets’ season has cratered since their giant Eagles disillusioned … Jets returning to Wilson as QB1 in opposition to Texans
2:00
C.J. Stroud tells Pat McAfee Texans are utterly other group from Week 1
C.J. Stroud joins Pat McAfee to element how he and the Texans had been striving to toughen this season.
1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: IND -1 (43.5)
Storyline to observe: Sunday’s sport will probably be an Apple Cup reunion between two backup quarterbacks. The Bengals’ Jake Browning, a Washington alum, goes up in opposition to the Colts’ Gardner Minshew, who performed at Washington State. Browning received the AFC’s Offensive Participant of the Week award final week, whilst Minshew is 14th in QBR this season in 8 begins instead of the injured Anthony Richardson. — Ben Child
Daring prediction: Search for a 3rd consecutive 100-yard efficiency from Colts receiver Michael Pittman Jr. He’s in the course of a occupation yr and is on course to probably land a large contract extension sooner than his approaching loose company within the offseason. Pittman has a blended 21 catches for 212 yards in his earlier two video games and faces a positive matchup in opposition to a suffering Cincinnati move protection this is permitting 254.3 yards in keeping with sport (twenty seventh within the NFL). — Stephen Holder
Stat to understand: The Bengals permit 4.8 yards in keeping with rush (thirty first within the NFL) and rank twenty sixth in run prevent win fee this season. The Colts, in the meantime, common 3.4 yards in keeping with rush since Week 9, ranked thirty first.
Matchup X issue: Browning. If he can play like he did Monday in opposition to the Jaguars — when he recorded an 84 QBR — Browning may all at once raise the Bengals into severe playoff rivalry once more. — Walder
What is at stake: Two AFC groups at the playoff bubble have so much to play for Sunday. The Colts’ probabilities of making it cross to 74% in a win however slide to 40% in a loss. The Bengals’ make possibilities sit down at 20% in a win, however a loss places them at simply 3%. Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: You’ll be able to proceed to depend on Minshew as a streamer in opposition to the Bengals. He is to be had in a excessive share of ESPN leagues and is throwing to a very good trio of receivers in Pittman, Josh Downs and Alec Pierce. Minshew scored a season-high 18.6 myth issues in opposition to the Titans final week, and the Bengals surrender the sixth-most myth issues in keeping with sport to quarterbacks. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Colts have coated 4 immediately video games. Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Colts 21, Bengals 20
Walder’s pick out: Bengals 23, Colts 20
FPI prediction: CIN, 53.5% (through a mean of one.2 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Pierce hoping to construct momentum … Colts’ Reggie Wayne evolving as trainer … Browning thrills in Monday evening win
4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: MIN -3 (40.5)
Storyline to observe: In fresh cornerback information, the Raiders have waived Marcus Peters, signed Jack Jones and designated Brandon Facyson, who suffered a shin damage in coaching camp, to go back from IR. The Raiders’ reimagined CB room and their No. 13-ranked move protection will probably be examined mightily through the go back of Vikings receiver Justin Jefferson, the reigning NFL Offensive Participant of the 12 months who’s on course to play for the primary time since Oct. 8 as a result of a hamstring factor. — Paul Gutierrez
Daring prediction: Raiders working again Josh Jacobs will rush for 60 yards (or much less) regardless of his greater productiveness since intervening time trainer Antonio Pierce changed the fired Josh McDaniels. Jacobs has averaged 90.8 dashing yards in keeping with sport beneath Pierce, moment within the NFL over that reach. However the Vikings’ rush protection righted itself after permitting 175 yards to the Eagles’ D’Andre Swift in Week 2. Since then, the very best particular person dashing general in opposition to the Vikings was once 65 yards from the Bears’ D’Onta Foreman in Week 6, who wanted 15 carries to do it. — Kevin Seifert
Stat to understand: Raiders receiver Davante Adams has had 4 immediately video games with a landing reception in opposition to the Vikings, one shy of matching Greg Jennings (5 immediately from 2009 to 2011) for the longest streak in opposition to Minnesota because the 1970 merger.
Matchup X issue: Jefferson. If he is again to complete power, that will probably be an enormous raise to the Vikings’ offense because the group makes a playoff push. With Jefferson within the lineup, Minnesota will have to have a large merit over the Raiders. — Walder
What is at stake: A Minnesota win approach a 60% probability to make the playoffs, however this sport may drop the Vikings to 32% in the event that they lose. Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: QB Joshua Dobbs has thrown 5 interceptions and likewise has a fumble within the Vikings’ previous two video games, and the Raiders’ protection lets in the Eleventh-fewest myth issues in keeping with sport to quarterbacks. It might be smart for the Vikings to depend closely on Alexander Mattison within the working sport. With regards to myth issues in keeping with sport, the Raiders permit the ninth-most to working backs. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: Unders are 9-3 in Raiders video games (8-2 up to now 10, and 4-1 up to now 5). Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Vikings 23, Raiders 20
Walder’s pick out: Vikings 27, Raiders 14
FPI prediction: MIN, 63.2% (through a mean of four.5 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Vikings to start out Dobbs vs. Raiders regardless of turnovers … Meyers’ consistency makes him ‘sneaky’ possibility for Raiders … How adopting a faculty protection has fueled Vikings’ turnaround … Raiders hoping for late-season push paying homage to 2021
0:49
Why Josh Dobbs is a dangerous myth play in Week 14
Box Yates breaks down why Josh Dobbs’ matchup in opposition to the Raiders will have to fear myth managers.
4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: SF -10.5 (46.5)
Storyline to observe: That is the second one assembly between those two groups in 18 days. The Niners are using a four-game profitable streak, last in at the NFC West crown and in placing distance of the No. 1 seed. The Seahawks, in the meantime, have misplaced 3 in a row amid an exceedingly tricky stretch of video games. Seattle will have to be somewhat more fit than the final time those groups met, and the Seahawks revel in a relaxation merit on this one. Will or not it’s sufficient to near the 18-point hole that separated those groups on Thanksgiving? Seattle wishes it to be if it’ll keep within the NFC playoff image, whilst for the Niners, a win paired with a Minnesota or Inexperienced Bay loss would punch San Francisco’s postseason price tag. — Nick Wagoner
Daring prediction: The Seahawks would possibly not lose through greater than 13 issues. And sure, that qualifies as daring given how lopsided this competition has transform. Seattle received 17 of 21 matchups from 2012 to 2021, however the tables have grew to become in a large approach with San Francisco profitable 4 immediately through a blended rating of 120-56. The Seahawks have a couple of issues going for them on this assembly that they did not have of their 31-13 loss to the 49ers on Thanksgiving. Along with being well-rested coming off a mini-bye, they have got had a protracted week to organize for a 49ers offense that mentally traces defenses with all of its pre-snap movement, and apparently they would possibly not have to stand defensive lineman Arik Armstead as a result of his foot damage. — Brady Henderson
Stat to understand: The 49ers have received 10 immediately divisional video games, which is the longest lively win streak (the following very best is 4 through the Falcons and Eagles). That is the 49ers second-longest divisional win streak since 1970 (12 immediately from 1997 to ’98).
Matchup X issue: The Seahawks’ move protection. There is not one participant to pick out right here as a result of that is the drawback with the 49ers’ offense; they are able to assault you in such a lot of other ways. From Riq Woolen to Devon Witherspoon to Bobby Wagner to Quandre Diggs — they are all going to need to have their A-game to forestall this vicious 49ers passing offense. — Walder
What is at stake: Seattle wishes a win to stay its playoff bid sturdy. The Seahawks would have a 52% probability to make the playoffs if they are able to beat their department rival, however the ones odds all at once transform 20% in a loss. The 49ers, in the meantime, are extra excited about the No. 1 seed within the convention. Win, and they have got a 48% probability. Lose, and it is 15%. Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: QB Brock Purdy has scored 23 or extra myth issues in 3 of his previous 4 video games. It is a nice setup for Purdy and the entire San Francisco pass-catchers, however working again Christian McCaffrey‘s matchup is especially interesting. Seattle’s protection provides up the fifth-most myth issues in keeping with sport to working backs. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Seahawks are 52-34-2 ATS as underdogs beneath Pete Carroll (.605). Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: 49ers 35, Seahawks 19
Walder’s pick out: 49ers 30, Seahawks 24
FPI prediction: SF, 78.1% (through a mean of 10.3 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Smith discovering luck with extra rhythm … Greenlaw, Eagles safety head alternate apologies … Adams stands through intent in spat with journalists … Samuel backs up giant phrases with giant performs in 49ers romp
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: KC -1.5 (48.5)
Storyline to observe: The Expenses have crushed the Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium within the common season in each and every of the previous two seasons largely as a result of Buffalo QB Josh Allen (six touchdowns, 0 interceptions) has outplayed Kansas Town’s Patrick Mahomes (4 TDs, 4 INTs). The Chiefs have been enjoying properly defensively however had their two worst video games on that aspect of the ball up to now two weeks, casting doubt on whether or not they are able to save you Allen from having any other giant sport this time round. — Adam Teicher
Daring prediction: Each the Chiefs and Expenses are winless this season when permitting greater than 20 issues, however that can trade Sunday. The Expenses have scored 30-plus issues of their previous two video games and allowed 24 or extra in 3 in their previous 4. Handiest as soon as within the 5 conferences between Mahomes and Allen has one of the vital groups now not scored a minimum of 20 issues (17 through the Expenses in Week 6 of 2020). — Alaina Getzenberg
Stat to understand: Expenses receiver Stefon Diggs wishes 31 receiving yards for 1,000 at the season, which might make him the 1/3 Buffalo participant with 4 seasons of one,000 receiving yards (Andre Reed and Eric Moulds) and the primary to do it consecutively.
Matchup X issue: Chiefs cornerbacks Trent McDuffie and L’Jarius Sneed. Honestly, the Expenses have the simpler offense — and passing offense — on this an important contest. The Chiefs’ corners should decelerate the Buffalo assault to offer Kansas Town’s suffering offense a shot to maintain. — Walder
What is at stake: Buffalo has to have the option to win this one. It might give the Expenses a 33% probability to nonetheless make the playoffs. However a loss places them in actual hassle, losing their possibilities to 7%. The Chiefs are taking a look excellent within the AFC West regardless of the result, however their possibilities to earn a playoff bye can bounce to 36% (win) or fall to 9% (loss). Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: Over his previous 4 video games, Mahomes has thrown for 870 passing yards. Over that duration, he has averaged 16.6 myth issues. Receiver Rashee Rice will also be depended on as a flex possibility with upside regardless of the Chiefs’ deficient passing sport. Since Week 5, he has averaged 5.7 objectives and 13.5 myth issues. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Expenses are 6-0 outright after a bye beneath trainer Sean McDermott (2-2-2 ATS). The Expenses are 6-12-2 ATS with further relaxation beneath McDermott. Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Expenses 29, Chiefs 24
Walder’s pick out: Expenses 28, Chiefs 20
FPI prediction: BUF, 54.5% (through a mean of one.6 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Joe Brady ‘brings numerous juice’ to Expenses offense … Taylor Swift opens up about Kelce romance timeline
2:34
Does the AFC nonetheless run via Kansas Town?
Dan Orlovsky and Kimberley A. Martin talk about if the Chiefs are nonetheless the group to overcome within the AFC.
4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: LAC -3 (43.5)
Storyline to observe: The Chargers are using possibly their very best two-game defensive stretch of trainer Brandon Staley’s three-year tenure. They held the Ravens, who scored 30 issues in 5 immediately video games sooner than their matchup, to twenty. Sunday’s 6-0 win over the Patriots was once the primary shutout of the Staley technology. Subsequent up is Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson, who threw 3 interceptions final week however has a landing move in 16 immediately video games courting to final season. — Kris Rhim
Daring prediction: If Broncos trainer Sean Payton will put Wilson in additional play-action eventualities, the QB could have his 1/3 sport of the season with 3 passing touchdowns. The Chargers have surrendered 300-yard passing video games to Tua Tagovailoa, Kirk Cousins, Mahomes, Goff and Jordan Love this season, and the ones quarterbacks threw 14 touchdowns in the ones 5 video games blended. The Broncos aren’t excellent on the dropback move sport, however getting Wilson at the transfer with some play-action may lend a hand. — Jeff Legwold
Stat to understand: The Chargers are in search of their fourth immediately house win in opposition to the Broncos courting to 2020. A victory would mark the group’s second-longest house win streak in opposition to Denver within the competition’s historical past (10 immediately from 1963 to 1972).
Matchup X issue: Broncos slot cornerback Ja’Quan McMillian. The nook, who has been enjoying extra and has two selections at the season, will line up continuously in opposition to WR Keenan Allen, who performs within the slot over part the time. Forestall Allen and you’ll be able to significantly impede the Chargers’ offense — however that is more uncomplicated stated than accomplished. — Walder
What is at stake: This sport could be extra about dimming playoff hopes than igniting them. Denver remains within the combine with a win at 27% however plummets to six% in a loss. And the Chargers grasp to a 20% probability in the event that they win however fall to three% in the event that they lose. Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: The Chargers’ protection lets in the third-most myth issues in keeping with sport to quarterbacks, the Tenth-most to working backs and the third-most to large receivers. Wilson and the opposite Broncos talent place avid gamers are in a great place at the highway if they are able to capitalize in this matchup. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Broncos are 6-13-1 ATS of their previous 20 highway video games. Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Broncos 27, Chargers 24
Walder’s pick out: Chargers 24, Broncos 20
FPI prediction: LAC, 68.6% (through a mean of 6.5 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Surtain-Allen matchup would be the heart of DEN-LAC … Chargers’ Staley hints at ‘pageant for carries’
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: DAL -3.5 (51.5)
Storyline to observe: First position within the NFC East is at the line when those groups meet, a minimum of quickly. The Cowboys would transfer to the highest line with a win, but when each groups win their ultimate video games, the Eagles would declare the department identify in response to convention checklist. A Philadelphia win approach the department could be all however clinched, however Dallas QB Dak Prescott has received 4 immediately in opposition to the Eagles at AT&T Stadium. — Todd Archer
Daring prediction: Cowboys working again Tony Pollard could have his first multi-touchdown sport because the season-opener. Pollard has discovered the top zone in each and every of the previous 3 weeks and is dealing with an Eagles group that ranks twenty ninth in pink zone protection and has yielded a mean of 162 yards at the flooring during the last 3 video games. — Tim McManus
Stat to understand: Eagles quarterback Jalen Hurts has 19 passing touchdowns and 12 dashing touchdowns. He may transform the second one participant all time to have more than one seasons of 20 passing touchdowns and 10 dashing touchdowns (Cam Newton had two), and he’d be the primary to do it in consecutive seasons.
Matchup X issue: Eagles linebacker Shaquille Leonard. Who is aware of what he’s going to be capable to do instantly, however that is why he is an X issue, proper? The Eagles may use lend a hand after permitting the 49ers’ offense to attain 42 issues final week, and Leonard might be the solution. — Walder
What is at stake: Each groups glance forged to make the playoffs, however far more is in play right here on Sunday evening. Philly can cross to 99% to win the department if it wins, however a Dallas win opens the door for the Cowboys (28%). And relating to a playoff bye, the Eagles cross to 75% with a department win right here however fall to 35% with a loss. (Dallas would have a ten% probability in a win.) Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: This season, Dallas has scored 30 or extra issues in 8 video games and ranks 5th in general yards in keeping with sport. No different protection provides up extra myth issues in keeping with sport to quarterbacks than the Eagles. Prescott, CeeDee Lamb, Brandin Chefs and Jake Ferguson belong in myth beginning lineups. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Cowboys are 8-2 ATS as favorites this season, and they’re 25-10 ATS as favorites up to now 3 seasons. Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Cowboys 33, Eagles 30
Walder’s pick out: Cowboys 34, Eagles 27
FPI prediction: DAL, 65.3% (through a mean of five.3 issues)
Matchup must-reads: How the Eagles should toughen forward of Cowboys rematch … Within the day-to-day coaching periods of Cowboys’ Prescott … Ferguson is Prescott’s new safety blanket
1:48
Dak Prescott or Jalen Hurts? Stephen A. makes his pick out
Stephen A. Smith explains what the variation is to him when opting for between Dak Prescott and Jalen Hurts.
8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Unfold: MIA -13 (46.5)
Storyline to observe: Monday evening will characteristic a highway group but to win a sport at the highway, and a house group but to lose at house. The Dolphins’ protection leads the league in defensive EPA since cornerback Jalen Ramsey‘s go back in Week 8. They have got additionally allowed the third-lowest conversion share on 1/3 down since Week 8, whilst the Titans’ offense has transformed on the fourth-lowest fee. — Marcel Louis-Jacques
Daring prediction: Titans receiver DeAndre Hopkins could have a 100-yard receiving efficiency. Miami’s move protection is 9th within the NFL through permitting 203.6 passing yards in keeping with sport. The Dolphins have allowed 3 100-yard receivers in 12 video games this season. Hopkins has two 100-yard receiving video games this yr and can upload to that general on Monday. — Turron Davenport
Stat to understand: Miami working again Raheem Mostert has 16 touchdowns this season, tied for the third-most in Dolphins historical past (Mark Clayton had 18 in 1984, whilst Ricky Williams had 17 in 2002). And backfield mate De’Von Achane has 9 TDs in six video games performed this season, and he may transform the 5th participant since 1932 with 10-plus touchdowns of their first seven video games, in keeping with the Elias Sports activities Bureau.
Matchup X issue: Dolphins edge rusher Bradley Chubb. He quietly ranks fourth in move rush win fee at edge and will probably be dealing with Titans rookie left take on Jaelyn Duncan, who would rank 69th out of 70 tackles in move block win fee if he certified. — Walder
What is at stake: The largest factor to observe right here? Miami is within the combine for the No. 1 seed within the AFC, and a win would put the Dolphins at 41%. However shedding to the Titans shrinks that to 17%. Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: Dolphins receiver Tyreek Hill has had 5 video games this season with 150 or extra receiving yards, which ties the NFL checklist for a unmarried season. Hill and Jaylen Waddle face a Titans protection that permits the fifth-most myth issues in keeping with sport to large receivers. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Titans are 0-5 outright and ATS of their previous 5 highway video games (1-5 ATS at the highway this season and 0-6 outright). Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Dolphins 31, Titans 19
Walder’s pick out: Dolphins 30, Titans 10
FPI prediction: MIA, 85.1% (through a mean of 13.8 issues)
Matchup must-reads: How Titans’ Vrabel and Carthon are navigating the season … Dolphins lengthen Jackson via 2026 season … Titans hearth particular groups coordinator after punting miscues … Tagovailoa, Hill and the Dolphins’ record-setting offense
Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ABC/ESPN+ | Unfold: GB -6.5 (36.5)
Storyline to observe: The Giants are already 0-4 in prime-time video games, having been outscored 108-24 in the ones contests. The Packers are coming off their first prime-time win in 3 tries this season. They beat the Chiefs 27-19 on Sunday evening. And whilst the Giants are in search of their first three-game win streak since Weeks 4-7 of final season, they have got misplaced 8 immediately “Monday Evening Soccer” video games, the longest lively streak within the NFL. — Jordan Raanan
Daring prediction: Packers working again AJ Dillon could have a 100-yard dashing sport. He has a kind of in his occupation, and it got here just about 3 years in the past. However Dillon has been trending upward in recent years with a 70-yard sport on simply 9 carries in opposition to the Steelers in Week 9 and a 73-yard sport final Sunday in opposition to the Chiefs. In the meantime, handiest 4 groups have allowed extra dashing yards in keeping with sport than the Giants’ 136.1. — Rob Demovsky
Stat to understand: Giants quarterback Tommy DeVito has seven TD passes and 3 interceptions this season. All different Giants passers have 4 TD throws and 6 selections blended.
Matchup X issue: Giants linebacker Bobby Okereke. He is having an enormous season with 4 pressured fumbles, two interceptions and a better-than-average 0.5 yards in keeping with protection snap allowed, in keeping with NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. The Giants are going to want some giant defensive performs to hold with the all at once sizzling Packers’ offense, and Okereke can give them. — Walder
What is at stake: Inexperienced Bay can transfer to 76% to make the playoffs if it wins on Monday. If New York can set up an disillusioned, the Packers drop to 48%. The Giants are unquestionably observing draft order, however although they lose, they nonetheless have a 1% probability to pick out No. 1 at this level. Learn extra.
What to understand for myth: Over the last 3 video games, Packers quarterback Jordan Love has averaged 285.7 passing yards and 23.7 myth issues in keeping with sport. The Packers’ large receivers face a Giants protection that provides up the ninth-most myth issues in keeping with sport. You’ll want to come with Romeo Doubs and Jayden Reed to your myth lineups. See Week 14 scores. — Moody
Having a bet nugget: The Packers are 4-1 ATS of their previous 5 video games as a favourite. They’re 1-5 ATS of their previous six video games as a highway favourite. Learn extra.
Moody’s pick out: Packers 28, Giants 20
Walder’s pick out: Packers 27, Giants 17
FPI prediction: GB, 72.8% (through a mean of 8.1 issues)
Matchup must-reads: Why Joe Barry’s D has helped spark Packers’ turnaround … Giants want ‘component of persistence’ all the way through development yr